Newly released data by Chinese customs showed imports from Iran plunged 48 per cent year on year last month, while exports to the country dropped 90 per cent.
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Across the broader Middle East, exports to eight Persian Gulf economies – including Saudi Arabia and Qatar – fell by 57 per cent, while imports declined by nearly 33 per cent.
The disruption stems largely from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz – a narrow waterway that handles about 20 per cent of global oil. This curtailed crude flows, contributing to a 25 per cent year-on-year drop in China’s oil imports from Gulf countries in March.
“The Strait of Hormuz has long been recognised as a global chokepoint, but it was not until this conflict that we realised how vulnerable it really is,” said Alfredo Montufar-Helu, managing director at Ankura China Advisors.
“The strait is no longer just a significant transit route for global energy markets, it is now a permanent geopolitical lever,” he said, adding that even a ceasefire was unlikely to remove the security premium in energy and maritime insurance costs amid continued risks.
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